Skip to main content

Crimea. Where to next for the Russians?

The take-over - or however it is be characterised - of Crimea by the Russians seems to have been wrapped up today.    Leaving aside the strident voices in the USA and Europe calling for action against Russia (whatever that is supposed to be is never spelt out) what does incorporation of Crimea as part of Russian mean? - and what are its implications?

Hugh White is professor of strategic studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, ANU.   He writes in The Age on events in Crimea and what it means for the Russians and Europe.

"Russia's use of force to compel Crimea's defection from Ukraine behind the fig leaf of last weekend's referendum marks a new phase in the history of Europe.

President Vladimir Putin has defied the principles of international order on which post-Cold-War Europe was supposed to be built, and forced the Europeans to think seriously about their own security for the first time in 25 years.

This seems to have come as a surprise to most Europeans, but it shouldn't have. Putin has simply taken the first step to reclaim the lands that Russia lost when the Soviet Union collapsed. He once called that ''a great geopolitical tragedy'', and he is not alone. Even Russians who cheered the end of Soviet regime nonetheless deeply resented the loss of immense territories that had been part of the old Russian Empire for centuries before the communists took power. They have never really accepted that loss, and it has always been likely that sooner or later Moscow would try to reverse the redrawing of Russia's western borders in 1991.

The urge to do this has perhaps become all the stronger because Russia has achieved so little else in the decades since the communists fell. Reclaiming old glories seems all the more important to a country that can claim so few new ones. And because it has achieved so little, post-Soviet Russia has no means to win its old lands back except with the still-formidable remnants of the Soviet era's only real legacy to Russia - its military strength."

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Robert Fisk's predictions for the Middle East in 2013

There is no gain-saying that Robert Fisk, fiercely independent and feisty to boot, is the veteran journalist and author covering the Middle East. Who doesn't he know or hasn't he met over the years in reporting from Beirut - where he lives?  In his latest op-ed piece for The Independent he lays out his predictions for the Middle East for 2013. Read the piece in full, here - well worthwhile - but an extract... "Never make predictions in the Middle East. My crystal ball broke long ago. But predicting the region has an honourable pedigree. “An Arab movement, newly-risen, is looming in the distance,” a French traveller to the Gulf and Baghdad wrote in 1883, “and a race hitherto downtrodden will presently claim its due place in the destinies of Islam.” A year earlier, a British diplomat in Jeddah confided that “it is within my knowledge... that the idea of freedom does at present agitate some minds even in Mecca...” So let’s say this for 2013: the “Arab Awakening” (the t

The NPT (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty) goes on hold.....because of one non-Treaty member (Israel)

Isn't there something radically wrong here?    Israel, a non-signatory to the NPT has, evidently, been the cause for those countries that are Treaty members, notably Canada, the US and the UK, after 4 weeks of negotiation, effectively blocking off any meaningful progress in ensuring the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons.    IPS reports ..... "After nearly four weeks of negotiations, the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) Review Conference ended in a predictable outcome: a text overwhelmingly reflecting the views and interests of the nuclear-armed states and some of their nuclear-dependent allies. “The process to develop the draft Review Conference outcome document was anti-democratic and nontransparent,” Ray Acheson, director, Reaching Critical Will, Women’s International League for Peace and Freedom (WILPF), told IPS. “This Review Conference has demonstrated beyond any doubt that continuing to rely on the nuclear-armed states or their nuclear-dependent allies for l

#1 Prize for a bizarre story.....and lying!

No comment called for in this piece from CommonDreams: Another young black man: The strange sad case of 21-year-old Chavis Carter. Police in Jonesboro, Arkansas  stopped  him and two friends, found some marijuana, searched put Carter, then put him handcuffed  behind his back  into their patrol car, where they say he  shot himself  in the head with a gun they failed to find. The FBI is investigating. Police Chief Michael Yates, who stands behind his officers' story,  says in an interview  that the death is "definitely bizarre and defies logic at first glance." You think?